Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 5.395106 5.881135 6.425286 7.087183 7.881307 8.818179 10.030707
2025-01-12 4.565565 5.149925 5.848064 6.765215 7.974624 9.575270 11.976853
2025-01-19 3.960406 4.573492 5.340293 6.407182 7.924270 10.143322 13.990879
2025-01-26 3.746115 4.442616 5.361293 6.732369 8.884143 12.518423 20.544838
2025-02-02 3.688174 4.501792 5.640423 7.487091 10.779774 17.663701 42.033136
2025-02-09 3.527859 4.397808 5.670624 7.876289 12.272816 23.724677 112.863378
2025-02-16 3.357566 4.256607 5.620596 8.122286 13.653671 32.044487 15547.115856
2025-02-23 3.185432 4.091888 5.507384 8.228483 14.828370 43.426762 NaN
2025-03-02 2.954938 3.816407 5.177890 7.848193 14.599865 48.232425 NaN
2025-03-09 2.800067 3.644110 5.001001 7.740820 15.116590 62.013588 NaN
2025-03-16 2.614665 3.410272 4.695594 7.313058 14.493977 64.146362 NaN
2025-03-23 2.522870 3.317232 4.624194 7.372536 15.491538 98.844762 NaN
2025-03-30 2.406518 3.189733 4.502177 7.354700 16.490329 196.362276 NaN
2025-04-06 2.262457 3.008598 4.268348 7.044367 16.254199 299.120205 NaN
2025-04-13 2.125152 2.830819 4.026917 6.681871 15.658619 397.903377 NaN
2025-04-20 2.088448 2.815612 4.083153 7.050023 18.678117 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.097136 2.876572 4.292040 7.887459 26.291601 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.061146 2.857828 4.342788 8.327265 33.650426 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.013396 2.814516 4.337916 8.608338 41.887193 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.957707 2.752907 4.287338 8.732869 50.165379 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.869908 2.628315 4.090194 8.315240 47.141433 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.808883 2.549212 3.985576 8.199349 50.537529 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.728633 2.431537 3.788920 7.728424 44.824721 NaN NaN